
Very pleased indeed that The Fortnightly Review is up and running again. And here is the latest excerpt from the Runiad.
Enjoy the latest issue of the Fortnightly!
Meanwhile, you can read the entirety of the Runiad as a work in progress at the Heyzine link here. This has now hit 1400 views! A big thank you to all my readers. So encouraging! And here is more from Book 12:
…………“But was he shot?” asked a grandson,
Anxious for some bloodshed. “No; the old gun burst and hurt
My hands, but not a mite of harm was done to Joe. I don’t think
I could tell all that happened for a spell, being dazed and all
x
By surprise – and by joy at what I had not done – and finding us
Alive; but I was pert as a wren by the time Mother came home
And Joe was at the table eating every mortal thing.”
And nowadays you might refer to this as a black swan event,
For had that old musket not exploded, none of them would have been there
To hear Grandma’s story, for their grandpa would be lying dead
By the kitchen door, and life would have wheeled away, taken
x
A different turn, just as another, darker swan turns my writing
Upside down, whirls me in its waterspout, in quantum entanglement
With that event that got me swamped by its own far from likely
Statistics. Note the disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict,
And rare events quite beyond the realm of normal expectations
In history, science, finance, and technology. The black swan
Alerts us to the non-computability of the likelihood of consequential
x
Rare events using scientific methods (owing to the nature
Of how few and far between they are). There are these psychological biases
That blind us all to uncertainty and to the substantial
Role of rare results, a role that queers prediction in historical affairs.
Analysing such a swan we delve into facts re the design, especially
The comparatively low tolerance point of the hull’s stability
In the event of its being tipped towards the water – due to the
xGreater length and weight of that show-off mast. Air conditioning
And extraction vents also invite access to water, if not shut.
Ok for the keel to be up – according to the manual – at the distance
To the shore that it was on the night. But this greatly enhanced
The chance of it capsizing. Also, when the keel is down it makes a noise –
Can’t be disturbing the sleep of the super-rich. Points to there being
A flaw though to the concept of a sailing boat/luxury hotel combo.
…..